по-русски

Actual Problems of
Economics and Law

 

16+

 

DOI: 10.21202/1993-047X.13.2019.1.935-947

скачать PDF

Authors :
1. Andrey L. Belousov, PhD (Economics), Associate Professor of the Department of legal Regulation of Economic Activity
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation



Development of mortgage lending and issues of methodology for determining the housing affordability


Objective: to study the development of mortgage lending in the Russian Federation from 2000 to 2017 and to assess its impact on the indicators of housing affordability for the population.


Methods: analysis, synthesis, systemic approach, formal legal method.


Results: the author identifies the main criteria of housing affordability, which are currently used in practice. The emphasis is made on the coefficient of housing affordability set at the legislative level. With the help of generalized data, the dynamics of this coefficient is analyzed in terms of introducing the mortgage lending mechanisms into practice. It is concluded that mortgage per se does not make housing more affordable. In the short term, on the contrary, by increasing effective demand, mortgage loans raise prices for residential real estate. Only in the medium and long term, the development of mortgages, with proper regulation, can increase availability of housing for the population through stimulating the construction sector, where capital investment is due to the growth of solvent demand, and through increasing the amount of new residential real estates built annually.


Scientific novelty: the author identifies shortcomings of the method of determining the housing affordability coefficient, contained in the legislation, as it does not take into account the current expenditures of households. It is proposed to adjust this indicator to the subsistence level for each family member. The calculation on the modified model is carried out. It is proposed to apply a simpler and more objective indicator of housing affordability for the population, which is the ratio of income to the cost of a square meter of residential real estate.


Practical significance: the assessment of the impact of mortgage lending development on the level of housing affordability obtained in the work has a high degree of relevance in terms of further regulating mortgage as a banking product, as well as selecting the direction of development of state policy in the field of residential construction.


Keywords :

Economics and national economy management; Mortgage; Mortgage lending; Indicators of housing affordability; Residential construction


Bibliography :

1. Abramova O. M. Issues of affordability of housing for the Russian citizens and ways of solving them, Mikroekonomika, 2013, No. 4, pp. 75–78 (in Russ.).
2. Gaitkulova L. R. Managing mortgage lending under crisis, Ekonomika i sotsium, 2015, No. 2–1 (15), pp. 1129–1132 (in Russ.).
3. Grushina O. V. Strategy of the new institutional reform to provide affordable housing, European Social Science Journal, 2015, No. 2, pp. 38–46 (in Russ.).
4. Kosareva N., Tumanov A. On estimating the housing affordability in Russia, Voprosy ekonomiki, 2007, No. 7, pp. 118–135 (in Russ.).
5. Belousov A. L. Developing the system of mortgage lending in the aspect of legislation reforming, Finansy i kredit, 2012, No. 25 (505), pp. 48–53 (in Russ.).
6. Belousov A. L. Trends of developing the legal regulation of the system of housing mortgage lending, Pravovye voprosy nedvizhimosti, 2013, No. 2, pp. 7–9 (in Russ.).

7. Belousov A. L. Turning exaction onto the only housing as a means to provide executing liabilities by a debtor, Finansy i kredit, 2017, Vol. 23, No. 20 (740), pp. 1173–1183 (in Russ.).
8. Belousov A. L. Issues of forming the institution of a financial ombudsman in the Russian Federation, Finansy i kredit, 2015, No. 19 (643), pp. 13–21 (in Russ.).
9. Belousov A. L., Soshilova N. S The only housing for debts, Rossiiskaya gosudarstvennost' i pravovaya sistema v XXI veke: tendentsii, protivorechiya i perspektivy razvitiya: Mezhregional'naya nauchno-prakticheskaya konferentsiya uchenykh, aspirantov, studentov i praktikov, Astrakhan, Astrakhanskii gosudarstvennyi tekhnicheskii universitet, 2017, pp. 60–63 (in Russ.).
10. Kulikov A. G., Yanin V. S. Housing mortgage lending and the issues of methodology for determining the housing affordability, Den'gi i kredit, 2013, No. 3, pp. 9–15 (in Russ.).
11. Sternik G. M., Apal'kov A. A. Quantitative estimation of the impact of various factors on affordability of housing and mortgage lending, Urbanistika i rynok nedvizhimosti, 2015, No. 1, pp. 6–16 (in Russ.).
12. Palaguta I. A. On the issue of financial affordability of housing, Audit i finansovyi analiz, 2012, No. 1, pp. 416–419 (in Russ.).
13. Sternik G. M., Apal'kov A. A. Developing the methodology of estimating the affordability of housing for the citizens, Imushchestvennye otnosheniya v Rossiiskoi Federatsii, 2014, No. 7 (154), pp. 59–71 (in Russ.).
14. Andrews E. L. Investing in the future, and mortgaging it, The New York Times, 2004, p. 4.
15. Baird J. Good credit, bad credit, Hispanic, 1993, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 118.
16. Barnes L. S. Instant mortgages, Builder, 2001, Vol. 24, No. 3, p. 77.
17. Chiang R. C., Chow Y. F., Liu M. Residential mortgage lending and borrower risk: the relationship between mortgage spreads and individual characteristics, The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 2002, Vol. 25, No. 1, pp. 5–32.
18. Ebrahim M. S., Shackleton M. B., Wojakowski R. M. Participating mortgages and the efficiency of financial intermediation, Journal of Banking & Finance, 2011, Vol. 35, No. 11, pp. 3042–3054. DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.04.008
19. Gorovoy V., Linetsky V. Intensity-based valuation of residential mortgages: an analytically tractable model, Mathematical Finance, 2007, Vol. 17, No. 4, pp. 541–573. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9965.2007.00315.x
20. Heuson A., Passmore W., Sparks R. Credit scoring and mortgage securitization: implications for mortgage rates and credit availability, The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 2001, Vol. 23, No. 3, pp. 337–363. DOI: 10.1023/a:1017952120081
21. Pennington-Cross A. Credit history and the performance of prime and nonprime mortgages, The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 2003, Vol. 27, No. 3, pp. 279–301.
22. Rich B. Mortgaging the earth, the world bank, environmental impoverishment, and the crisis of development, Finance & Development, 1994, Vol. 31, No. 2, p. 49.
23. Panfilov V. S. Transformation of the reproductive mechanism of global economy and prospects of social-economic development of Russia, Institut narodnokhozyaistvennogo prognozirovaniya Rossiiskoi akademii nauk (INP RAN), 2012, available at: https://ecfor.ru/wp-content/uploads/2012/fp/4/01.pdf (access date: 09.01.2019) (in Russ.).
24. Khusikhanov R. U. Modern approaches to mortgage lending in foreign economic practice, Vestnik Universiteta (Gosudarstvennyi universitet upravleniya), 2016, No. 9, pp. 148–153 (in Russ.).
25. Dobrolezha E. V., Sokolov S. V. What impedes the development of the Russian mortgage lending for housing under modern conditions?, Innovatsionnye tekhnologii v mashinostroenii, obrazovanii i ekonomike, 2018, Vol. 14, No. 1–2 (7), pp. 125–128 (in Russ.).
26. Savinova V. A. Formation of banking resources and their role in mortgage lending, Vestnik Samarskogo gosudarstvennogo ekonomicheskogo universiteta, 2007, No. 11 (37), pp. 100–106 (in Russ.).
27. Lozinskaya A. M. Modern opportunities for estimating credit risks in housing mortgage lending, Global'nye rynki i finansovyi inzhiniring, 2016, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 7–20 (in Russ.).
28. Mal'tseva O. E. Essence of credit risk and sources of its appearance in mortgage lending, Novaya nauka: finansovoekonomicheskie osnovy, 2017, No. 1, pp. 172–175 (in Russ.).
29. Nurmukhametov R. K., Bugakova A. V. New phenomena in mortgage lending, Vestnik Tul'skogo filiala Finuniversiteta, 2018, No. 1, pp. 444–446 (in Russ.).
30. Kozhevnikova N. V. Object in mortgage lending, Alleya nauki, 2018, Vol. 3, No. 10 (26), pp. 791–794 (in Russ.).


Citation :

Belousov A. L. Development of mortgage lending and issues of methodology for determining the housing affordability, Actual Problems of Economics and Law, 2019, vol. 13, No. 1, pp. 935–947 (in Russ.). DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.21202/1993-047X.13.2019.1.935-947


Type of article : The scientific article

Date of receipt of the article :
20.12.2018

Date of adoption of the print :
12.02.2019

Date of online accommodation :
25.03.2019