по-русски

Actual Problems of
Economics and Law

 

16+

 

DOI: 10.21202/1993-047X.09.2015.2.59-68

скачать PDF

Authors :
1. Evgeniya Isayevna Galeyeva, Doctor of Economics, Professor
Institute of Economics, Management and Law (Kazan)



Russia’s development under sanctions


Objective: to examine the socio-economic aspects of the Russian economy development under sanctions, to analyze the macroeconomic indicators and to develop a forecast of their development for the period from 2015 till 2020.

Methods: the research is based on the following methods: analysis and synthesis, logical approach to the assessment of economic phenomena, synergetic model with elements of statistical, regression and variation methods.

Results: using the synergetic model, the control parameters of the socio-economic system were defined and the forecast was made of Russia's macroeconomic indicators development for the period from 2015 till 2020 under financial and economic crisis.


Scientific novelty: the development of scientifically grounded theoretical positions and practical recommendations in the field of analysis and forecast of macroeconomic indicators of Russia’s socio-economic development for the period from 2015 till 2020.

Practical value: managers at all levels are offered tools for conducting factor analysis, the development of medium- and long-term forecasts of business activities, that will minimize the risks when making managerial decisions under current economic conditions.
 


Keywords :

Russian economy; Socio-economic system; Financial and economic crisis; Macroeconomic indicators; Synergetic model; Factor analysis; Forecast of macroeconomic indicators’ development
 


Bibliography :

1. Kravchenko, L. Rossiya i sanktsii: stsenarii ekonomicheskogo razvitiya (Russia and sanctions: scenarios of economic development), available at: http:/www.rusrand.ru (accessed: 21.05.2015).
2. Potapov, G.P., Galeeva, E.I. Sinergeticheskie aspekty zatratnogo menedzhmenta (Synergy aspects of cost management). Vestnik Kazanskogo gosudarstvennogo tekhnicheskogo universiteta im A.N. Tupoleva, 2005, no. 3, pp. 76–80.
3. Galeeva, E.I. Sinergeticheskii podkhod v teorii upravleniya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskimi sistemami (Synergy approach in the theory of social-economic systems management). Kazan': Izdatel'stvo "Taglimat" Instituta ekonomiki, upravleniya i prava, 2006, 124 p.
4. Galeeva, E.I. Sinergeticheskaya model' prognoza VVP Rossii (Synergy model of the Russia’s GDP predicting). Problemy sovremennoi ekonomiki, 2007, no. 4, pp. 93–97.
5. Galeeva, E.I. Razrabotka srednesrochnogo prognoza sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Respubliki Tatarstan s pomoshch'yu sinergeticheskoi modeli (Elaborating the medium-term forecast of social-economic development of Tatarstan Republic using the synergy model). Ekonomicheskii Vestnik Respubliki Tatarstan, 2008, no. 3, pp. 20–25.
6. Galeeva, E.I. Otsenka effektivnosti deyatel'nosti khozyaistvuyushchikh sub"ektov s pomoshch'yu sinergeticheskoi modeli (Estimating the enterprise’s efficiency using the synergy model). Vestnik Chuvashskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 2008, no. 3, pp. 311–319.
7. Galeeva, E.I. Otsenka deyatel'nosti predpriyatiya v usloviyakh neopredelennosti s pomoshch'yu sinergeticheskoi modeli (Estimating the enterprise’s activity under uncertainty using the synergy model). Ekonomicheskie nauki, 2008, no. 6 (43), pp. 268–272.
8. Galeeva, E.I. Formirovanie sinergeticheskogo mekhanizma upravleniya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskimi sistemami: teoriya i praktika (Forming the synergy mechanism of social-economic systems management: theory and practice). Kazan': Kazan. gos. un-t, 2009, 152 p.
9. Galeeva, E.I. Formirovanie strategii razvitiya predpriyatii neftegazokhimicheskogo kompleksa: teoriya i praktika (Forming the development strategy of petrochemical enterprises: theory and practice). Samara: Izd-vo SamNTs RAN, 2010, 252 p.
10. Potapov, G.P. Klassicheskie i kvantovye urovni upravleniya ekonomicheskimi sistemami. Modelirovanie sotsial'no-ekonomicheskikh sistem: monografiya (Classic and quantum levels of economic systems management: monograph). Saarbrücken: LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing GmbH &Co, 2012.
11. http://www.gks.ru (accessed: 21.05.2015).
 


Citation :

Galeeva E.I. Russia’s development under sanctions, Actual Problems of Economics and Law, 2015, No. 2, pp. 59–68.
 


Type of article : The scientific article

Date of receipt of the article :
09.04.2015

Date of adoption of the print :
12.05.2015

Date of online accommodation :
15.07.2015