по-русски

Actual Problems of
Economics and Law

 

16+

 

DOI: 10.21202/1993-047X.10.2016.2.102-112

скачать PDF

Authors :
1. Anastasiya A. Kurilova, Doctor of Economics, Associate Professor, Professor of the Char “Finance and Credit”
Togliatti State University

2. Kirill Yu. Kurilov, PhD (Economics), Associate Professor, Professor of the Char “Finance and Credit”
Togliatti State University



Main factors influencing the fall of sales in the Russian automobile market


Objective: to identify the negative factors affecting the development of the Russian automobile market.


Methods: systemic approach, generalization and comparison of results, method of induction. The findings are based on the research results and observations obtained with the comparative-historical, dialectical-synthetic and abstract-logical methods.

Results: basing on data of the International organization of motor vehicle manufacturers (OICA), the rate of vehicles overproduction worldwide was determined; the analysis of motorization index in various countries allowed to form the forecast for the development of automotive fleet in Russia; basing on the analysis of macroeconomic data, the main factors influencing the development of the Russian automobile market were determined.


Scientific novelty: the regularities of dynamics of development of the global and Russian automobile markets were revealed. The factors influencing the Russian car market were identified.


Practical significance: the Russian car manufacturers can use information about the development of the global and Russian automobile markets to create plans for their activities.
 


Keywords :

 Economy and national economy management; Automobile industry; Sector of vehicles production; Dynamics of the global automobile industry; Demand for cars; Forecast of development of the Russian automobile industry; Program 2020
 


Bibliography :

1. Kurilov, K. Yu., Bogatyrev, V. D., Ivanov, D. Yu. Prognozy razvitiya otechestvennoi avtomobil'noi promyshlennosti (Forecast of the Russian automobile industry development), Sb. nauch. trudov V Mezhdunar. nauch.-prakt. konf., Togliatti, 2015, pp. 96–98 (in Russ.).
2. Kurilov, K. Yu., Kurilova, A. A. Tsiklichnost' razvitiya mirovoi avtomobil'noi promyshlennosti (Cyclicity of the global automobile industry development), Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika, 2010, No. 35, pp. 33–44 (in Russ.).
3. Kurilova, A. A. Prognoz razvitiya avtomobil'noi promyshlennosti do 2026 g. (Forecast of the automobile industry development up to 2026), Azimut nauchnykh issledovanii: ekonomika i upravlenie, 2012, No. 1, pp. 40–42 (in Russ.).
4. Kurilov, K. Yu., Kurilova, A. A. Formirovanie prognoza prodazh transportnykh sredstv do 2025 goda (Forming the prediction of vehicle sales up to 2025), Audit i finansovyi analiz, 2011, No. 5, pp. 98–110 (in Russ.).
5. Kurilov, K. Yu., Kurilova, A. A. Otsenka finansovykh rezul'tatov predpriyatii avtomobil'noi promyshlennosti (Evaluation of  financial results of automobile enterprises), Vestnik NGIEI, 2015, No. 1 (44), pp. 42–46 (in Russ.).
6. Kurilova, A. A., Iskoskov, M. O., Rudenko, A. A., Kurilov, K. Yu. Analiz razvitiya mirovoi avtopromyshlennosti (Analysis of development of the global automobile industry), Vestnik Povolzhskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta servisa. Seriya: Ekonomika, 2015, No. 3 (41), pp. 87–92 (in Russ.).
7. Kurilov, K. Yu. Printsipy formirovaniya sistemy zatrat promyshlennogo predpriyatiya (Principles of forming the cost system of an industrial enterprise), Azimut nauchnykh issledovanii: ekonomika i upravlenie, 2015, No. 3 (12), pp. 41–45 (in Russ.).
8. Kurilova, A. A., Frolova, O. Yu. Upravlenie riskami na predpriyatiyakh aviastroitel'noi promyshlennosti (Risk management at aviation-building enterprises), Azimut nauchnykh issledovanii: ekonomika i upravlenie, 2014, No. 4, pp. 45–47 (in Russ.).
9. Kurilov, K. Yu. Primenenie programmy obratnogo vykupa na predpriyatiyakh avtomobil'noi promyshlennosti (Implementing the trade-in program at automobile enterprises), Karel'skii nauchnyi zhurnal, 2014, No. 2, pp. 57–60 (in Russ.).
10. Kurilov, K. Yu. Khedzhirovanie kak sposob povysheniya effektivnosti predpriyatii avtomobilestroeniya (Hedging as a means of increasing the efficiency of automobile enterprises), Karel'skii nauchnyi zhurnal, 2014, No. 3, pp. 62–69 (in Russ.).
11. Shmygov, A. F., Frolova, O. Yu. Tendentsii avtomobil'nogo klastera Samarskoi oblasti na sovremennom etape razvitiya (Trends of automobile cluster of Samara region at the modern stage of development), Azimut nauchnykh issledovanii: ekonomika i upravlenie, 2014, No. 3, pp. 107–110 (in Russ.).
12. Kurilov, K. Yu., Kurilova, A. A. Dinamika razvitiya mirovogo i rossiiskogo avtomobil'nogo rynka v 2012 g. (Dynamics of the development of the Russian and global automobile market in 2012), Audit i finansovyi analiz, 2013, No. 6, pp. 363–366 (in Russ.).
13. Kurilov, K. Yu. Razvitie rossiiskogo avtomobil'nogo rynka do 2020 goda (Development of the Russian automobile market up to 2020), Azimut nauchnykh issledovanii: ekonomika i upravlenie, 2012, No. 1, pp. 37–40 (in Russ.).
14. Kurilov, K. Y. World and Russian automotive industry development perspectives, Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2012, vol. 23, No. 5, pp. 478–487.
15. Braudel, F. Vremya mira. Material'naya tsivilizatsiya, ekonomika i kapitalizm. XV–XVIII vv. (Time of the world. Material civilization, economy and capitalism. 15–18 cc.), Moscow: Progress, 1992, 752 p. (in Russ.).
16. Gumilev, L. N. Etnogenez i biosfera Zemli (Ethnogenesis and biosphere of the Earth), Moscow: AST, Astrel', 2005, 642 p. (in Russ.).
17. Zhambyu, M. Ierarkhicheskii klasternyi analiz i sootvetstviya (Hierarchy cluster analysis and correlations), Moscow: Finansy i statistika, 1988, pp. 11–15 (in Russ.).
18. Juglar, K. Krizis i biznes-tsikly vo Frantsii, Anglii i SShA (Crisis and business cycles in France, Great Britain and the USA), London: Maksimil'yan Pablisher, 1862, pp. 30–35 (in Russ.).
19. Duran, B., Odell, P. Klasternyi analiz (Cluster analysis), Moscow: Statistika, 1977, pp. 15–25 (in Russ.).
20. Davison, M. Mnogomernoe shkalirovanie (Multidimensional scaling), Moscow: Finansy i statistika, 1998, p. 47 (in Russ.).
21. Dewey, E. R., Mandino, Og. Tainstvennye sily, kotorye vyzyvayut sobytiya (Mysterious powers causing events), New York: Hawthornbooks inc, 1971, 211 p. (in Russ.).
22. Kitchin, D. Tsikly i trendy v ekonomike (Cycles and trends in economy), Obzor ekonomicheskoi statistiki, is. 5, No. 1, 1923, pp. 10–16 (in Russ.).
23. Kondratiev, N. D., Yakovets, Yu. V., Abalkin, L. I. Bol'shie tsikly kon"yunktury i teoriya predvideniya. Izbrannye trudy (Large cycles of conjuncture and theory of prediction. Selected works), Moscow: Ekonomika, 2002, pp. 341–393 (in Russ.).
24. Model'skii, J., Thompson, U. Volny Kondrat'eva, razvitie mirovoi ekonomiki i mezhdunarodnaya politika (Kondratiev waves, global economy development and international policy), Voprosy ekonomiki, 1992, No. 10, pp. 49–57 (in Russ.).
25. Forrester, J. Osnovy kibernetiki predpriyatiya (industrial'naya dinamika) (Bases of an enterprise’s cybernetics (industrial dynamics)), Moscow: Progress, 1971, 340 p. (in Russ.).
 


Citation :

 Kurilova A. A., Kurilov K. Yu. Main factors influencing the fall of sales in the Russian automobile market, Actual Problems of Economics and Law, 2016, vol. 10, No. 2, pp. 102–112.


Type of article : The scientific article

Date of receipt of the article :
28.03.2016

Date of adoption of the print :
29.04.2016

Date of online accommodation :
15.07.2016